{"id":495,"date":"2020-03-22T09:30:14","date_gmt":"2020-03-22T09:30:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.ncl.ac.uk\/alexyakovlev\/?p=495"},"modified":"2020-03-22T12:03:58","modified_gmt":"2020-03-22T12:03:58","slug":"is-there-any-effect-of-weather-on-the-spread-of-covid-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.ncl.ac.uk\/alexyakovlev\/2020\/03\/22\/is-there-any-effect-of-weather-on-the-spread-of-covid-19\/","title":{"rendered":"Is there any effect of weather on the spread of Covid-19?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Weather reports:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.timeanddate.com\/weather\/china\/wuhan\/historic?month=12&year=2019<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Average pressure in Wuhan in December 2019 was 1026 mbar,\nwith some days going as high as 1040 mbar. Wind was very low too \u2013 1-5mph. Dry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.timeanddate.com\/weather\/italy\/milan\/historic?month=1&year=2020<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Average pressure in Milan in January 2020 was 1027 mbar,\nwith some days as high as 1045 mbar. Wind was very low \u2013 1-3 mph, mostly dry<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For comparison<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.timeanddate.com\/weather\/uk\/newcastle-upon-tyne\/historic?month=2&year=2020<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Average pressure in Newcastle upon Tyne in February 2020 was\n999 mbar, Wind was typically very strong \u2013 more than 20mph, lot of rain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Molecular and cellular transmission:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

What is the\nrelative permittivity of air for odours and viruses? How does it depend on the\nweather?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Have you every walked behind a person having a lot of\nperfume? On a windy and rainy day, with low pressure you\u2019d hardly feel any\nsmell. But on a dry, sunny day, with high pressure, the scent of perfume stays\nso long that you can feel it even if the lady is 100-200 meters ahead of you,\nor even long past.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What is smell? What is its nature? In science it is\nexplained via special types of molecules, called odorants. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

http:\/\/resources.schoolscience.co.uk\/ICI\/16plus\/smells\/smellsch2pg1.html<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

With Covid-19, we have been told that we should keep the\ndistance of 2m in social distancing. Is it enough? In what weather?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Covid-19 cells are very small. Apparently the size of\n100 nanometers. So we are talking about something like 1000 molecules. On a\nhigh pressure, dry and non-windy day, they can stay in the air probably for\nquite a while. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The other factor of good and dry weather is that people are much more out and about, and naturally socialise more. So, the weather and social proximity are correlated too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Extra point. On a low pressure day our body naturally extract more fluid, mucus etc. This is actually good to help not letting virus into your body. On the contrary on a high pressure sunny day we are naturally keeping everything inside and actively breath oxygen rich air. Especially if we exercise outdoors. Perhaps, virus likes that we help it with extra oxygen and give its way into our lungs when we exercise. So is active exercising is good during those days and in a social company of potentially viral people. I am not sure. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We are often mistaken that by doing something normally good we can win. Unfortunately, there is no universal win. What\u2019s good for your body under normal conditions may be bad under these viral conditions. Good old saying, you can\u2019t win, man, can you!?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

My hypothesis is that a good weather is really a \u2018good\u2019 promoter for viral transmission.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Weather reports: https:\/\/www.timeanddate.com\/weather\/china\/wuhan\/historic?month=12&year=2019 Average pressure in Wuhan in December 2019 was 1026 mbar, with some days going as high as 1040 mbar. Wind was very low too \u2013 1-5mph. Dry. https:\/\/www.timeanddate.com\/weather\/italy\/milan\/historic?month=1&year=2020 Average pressure in Milan in January 2020 was 1027 … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4763,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16,1,21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-495","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-causality","category-uncategorized","category-virology"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ncl.ac.uk\/alexyakovlev\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/495","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ncl.ac.uk\/alexyakovlev\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ncl.ac.uk\/alexyakovlev\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ncl.ac.uk\/alexyakovlev\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4763"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ncl.ac.uk\/alexyakovlev\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=495"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ncl.ac.uk\/alexyakovlev\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/495\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":498,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ncl.ac.uk\/alexyakovlev\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/495\/revisions\/498"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ncl.ac.uk\/alexyakovlev\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=495"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ncl.ac.uk\/alexyakovlev\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=495"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.ncl.ac.uk\/alexyakovlev\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=495"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}