Submit to a conference session on “Reconciling adaptation and mitigation in cities” @nclceser @ECCA2015 @ICLEI_Europe

You are invited to submit a presentation to a session on “Reconciling adaptation and mitigation in cities” to be held at the 2015 European Climate Change Adaptation Conference.  Details of the session, and a link to the submission website, are below.  This session which will focus on scientific advances in this topic is being organised by CESER director Richard Dawson (Newcastle University) and paired to a second session, led by ICLEI Europe which will provide an end-user oriented perspective.

We look forward to hearing from you, and please do circulate to interested colleagues.

http://www.ecca2015.eu/abstract-submission

Reconciling adaptation and mitigation in cities: Part I – The science basis: Recent methodological advances
Chair: Richard Dawson (Newcastle University, UK)
Co-chair: Alberto Trenzi, (ICLEI)

The urgent need to reconfigure our urban areas so that they consume fewer resources, emit less pollution (including GHGs), are more resilient to the impacts of climate change, and are more sustainable in general, is increasingly recognized.

As the global population consolidates, urban areas have become focal points for sustainability initiatives. However, there is increased recognition that there are potential synergies and conflicts in the objectives of mitigation, adaptation and sustainability strategies.

These interactions, potential conflicts and synergies are no more vivid than in urban areas, where they play out through land use, infrastructure systems and the built environment.

Without sensible planning, well-meant interventions can have negative impacts elsewhere. For example, desalination can secure water supplies, but, as an energy-intensive process, can confound efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Denser cities can reduce transport energy costs, but can increase urban heat island intensity.

Many other interactions are more subtle in comparison. Road pricing strategies designed to curb emissions from the transport sector can amplify inequalities by limiting accessibility options of poorer urban residents and drive up inner city rents.

This session will explore different approaches that have been developed to understand and seeking to reconcile potential trade-offs between adaptation, mitigation and sustainability measures in urban areas.

Potential topics might include, but are not limited to, technical measures, governance and policy strategies, or bottom-up community actions. New and innovative research methods (including an update from the FP7 RAMSES project), case studies as well as exemplars of best practise from policy makers and industry are invited.

This session is linked to the ICLEI led “Reconciling adaptation and mitigation in cities: Part II – The application basis: Mainstreaming into the planning process”, attendees will benefit from, but are not required to attend both sessions.

Prof. Ashok Deshpande, Berkeley: Seminar on Application of Fuzzy Logic to Environmental Data #ibuild

Speaker: Professor Ashok Deshpande, Berkeley Initiative in Soft Computing (BISC), University of California, Berkeley

Location: Cassie 3.25 Time/Date: 27th November 2014, 14:00 – 15:00

Zadeh-Deshpande (ZD) fuzzy logic based formalism for linguistic description of air quality: a case study

In everyday life and field such as environmental health people deal with concepts that involve factors that defy classification into crisp sets: safe, harmful, acceptable with mitigation measures, and so on. A classic example is a regulator carefully explaining the result of a detailed quantitative risk assessment report to a community group, only to be asked over and over again. But are we safe? In this case, safe defies crisp classification because it is a multivariate state with gradation that varies among different individuals and groups. Furthermore, it is hard to define the terms such as: health, environment,  safe, air and water quality, risk and alike as these are vague or fuzzy terms based on perception

This seminar presents application of a novel fuzzy logic based formalism (ZD approach) to straightway describe air quality in various linguistic terms with linguistic degree of certainty attached to each description. The case study relates to air quality status in Chennai city of India in 2013. Comparative air quality status of New York and Mumbai also from an integral part of the study. The aggregation of the concepts of aleotary as well as epistemic uncertainty in the air quality parametric data is demonstrated using the concept of Degree of Match. ZD approach is complete departure from the traditional air quality index system.

Professor Ashok Deshpande PhD (Engineering)

Founding Chair: Berkeley Initiative in Soft Computing (BISC) – UC Berkeley CA; Guest Faculty: University of California Berkeley; Visiting Professor: Indian Institute of Technology, Mumbai India; Adjunct Professor: College of Engineering Pune (COEP) India; Former Deputy Director: National Environmental Engineering Research Institute (NEERI)/CSIR

Dr. Ashok has been a WHO Adviser, a Commonwealth Science Council Resource Scientist and a World Bank Project Director for the studies on Probabilistic Risk Assessment for Chemical Process industry.

Dr. Deshpande’s has a passion and mission to propagate the use of fuzzy logic. In 2004 and 2006, Dr. Ashok was invited by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) as an expert to organize a training programme at CDTN, Brazil on fuzzy logic and its applications. Between 2006 and 2013 he has organized training workshops on fuzzy sets and fuzzy logic with applications at the University of Illinois Chicago USA (sponsored by VRI Chicago), UBC Canada, Tribhuvan University Nepal , LTU Sweden, VIT Spain and CSU USA. At present, his doctoral students work mainly on fuzzy logic related topics. Professor Deshpande has delivered seminar at University of Maryland Baltimore (2013), University of Gyor, Hungary (2013) and Harvard University (June 2014). He also organized a workshop as a WHO Adviser in 5 capital cities (Colombo, Dhaka, Yongon, Kathmandu and Delhi) on ‘Unaccounted for Water Management’ and also assisted Danish International Development Authority (DANIDA) as a Project Advisor.

Professor Lotfi Zadeh, the founder of fuzzy logic, after listening to many seminar talks, asked Professor Deshpande to be the Chair of Berkeley Initiative in Soft Computing (BISC). He is also a guest faculty at the University of California Berkeley and visiting scientist at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, CA.

Dr. Lee Chapman: Seminar on building urban climate resilience #ibuild

Dr. Lee Chapman, a reader in climate resilience at Birmingham University will be giving a talk about his work on urban and infrastructure resilience to extreme events.

Drinks will be provided after the seminar.

Building Urban Climate Resilience

The Birmingham Urban Climate Laboratory is a near real-time, high-resolution urban meteorological network of automatic weather stations and inexpensive ‘Internet of Things’ air temperature sensors located across the city of Birmingham.  The network was initially designed with a focus on monitoring urban heat impacts on infrastructure and health, but has since inspired a number of other smart city / Internet of Things projects.  This seminar will showcase the ongoing work with Birmingham City Council, Amey PLC and the Railway Safety and Standards Board as we head towards the goal of improved urban climate resilience in the city.

http://www.birmingham.ac.uk/staff/profiles/gees/chapman-lee.aspx

 

Two #lecturer #jobs in Geotechnical and Structural engineering @nclceg @nclceser @UniofNewcastle #civilengineering

Lecturer in Geotechnical Engineering

School of Civil Engineering & Geosciences, Science, Agriculture & Engineering, Ref D1619A
Lecturer Grade F:     £33,242 – £37,394
Lecturer Grade G: £38,511 – £40,847

Closing date:              23 October2014

https://www15.i-grasp.com/fe/tpl_newcastle02.asp?s=4A515F4E5A565B1A&jobid=54948,1423714734&key=83994340&c=495487984034&pagestamp=sehnntxwubhmdapbig

Lecturer in Structural Engineering

School of Civil Engineering & Geosciences, Science, Agriculture & Engineering, Ref D1620A
Lecturer Grade F:     £33,242 – £37,394
Lecturer Grade G: £38,511 – £40,847

Closing date:              23 October 2014

https://www15.i-grasp.com/fe/tpl_newcastle02.asp?s=4A515F4E5A565B1A&jobid=54950,1223726279&key=83994340&c=495487984034&pagestamp=sehnntxwubhmdapbig

CESER Academic Hayley Fowler awarded prestigious Wolfson Merit Award @nclceser @nclceser @UniofNewcastle @HayleyJFowler

ncegweb_264580Professor Hayley Fowler, Professor of Climate Change Impacts in CESER, has been awarded a highly prestigious Royal Society Wolfson Research Merit Award to support her research programme on “Understanding climate change impacts on hydrological extremes.”

Hayley works on interdisciplinary research within the earth system sciences, at the interface between climatology and hydrology. Her  research  aims  to  further  the understanding  of  the  role  of  climate  variability  and  global warming  on  the  occurrence  of  extreme  weather  events,  and  the  societal  impacts. She combines observational, modelling, statistical and theoretical approaches to examine the potential impacts of climate change on heavy rainfall, flood and water resource drought risks. Her work  ranges  from  interpreting  and  understanding  recent  and  historical  changes  and predictions  of  future  changes  in  extremes,  to  using  this  understanding  to  develop  new  downscaling methods  from  climate  models  that  can  be  used  in  climate  change  impact  studies.  Examples of her work include http://www.ncl.ac.uk/sustainability/news/item/heavier-summer-downpours-with-climate-change-copy

The Royal Society is a self-governing Fellowship of many of the world’s most distinguished scientists drawn from all areas of science, engineering, and medicine. The Society’s fundamental purpose, since its foundation in 1660, is to recognise, promote, and support excellence in science and to encourage the development and use of science for the benefit of humanity. Jointly funded by the Wolfson Foundation and the Department for Business, Innovation and Skills (BIS), the Wolfson Research Merit Scheme aims to help universities retain respected UK scientists of outstanding achievement and potential.

CESER researcher Steve Birkinshaw breaks the 214 peaks challenge record!!! @nclceser @UniofNewcastle #jossnaylor #fellrunning

ncegweb_264540A Cumbrian fell runner has set a new record for tackling all of Alfred Wainwright’s 214 peaks in the Lake District.

Steve Birkinshaw broke the record set by Joss Naylor in 1987,  who completed the challenge in seven days, one hour and 25 minutes. Mr Birkinshaw, 45, ran 320 miles (515km) and ascended 36,000m (118,000ft) in six days and 13 hours. The challenge raised more than £12,000 for two Multiple Sclerosis charities.

Mr Birkinshaw’s sister has the disease and he will be  donation to both the national MS Society and a local charity, the Samson  Centre.

He said: “It’s all a bit overwhelming to be honest. Joss  Naylor is an incredible athlete, so to have beaten his record is an  amazing feeling. There were some really tough times out there, but I was  spurred on every time I reached a Wainwright top and met someone else  who had made the effort to come out and support me.”Threlkeld-based Mr Birkinshaw, who works as a research  associate at Newcastle University, got under way in Keswick on Saturday  14 June at 09:00 BST and finished back in the town on Friday at 22:00  BST. He ran the equivalent of two marathons each day and a GPS tracker recorded his movements.

The 214 fells (hills and mountains) were described in Wainwright’s seven-volume Pictorial Guide to the Lakeland Fells (1955-66).

More can be found in Steve’s blog: https://stevebirkinshaw-wainwright2014.blogspot.com

Steve was raising money for two MS charities:

http://www.justgiving.com/Steve-Birkinshaw

http://www.justgiving.com/Steve-Birkinshaw1

Newcastle City Dashboard launched

dashboard2-iconsWe are pleased to announce the beta release of the Science Central Urban Observatory Newcastle City Dashboard, mixing real-time sensor feeds from the Urban Observatory platform, public and social media feeds.  As always this is a work in progress so expect to see some more data streams soon.

http://ceg-research.ncl.ac.uk/uo/dashboard/

The dashboard was developed by Massimo Strano, Neil Harris & Phil James and funded through an EPSRC grant to prototype a Long Term Urban Research Facility (LTURF) held by CESER director Richard Dawson.  The work is also being supported by the School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences (http://www.ncl.ac.uk/ceg/)

The Urban Observatory now contains over 7 million observations and another 100 sensors are being deployed over the next few weeks.  In the next two years through the Univesrity’s Science Central programme, we have c. £500k to invest in sensor related infrastructure and hope to incorporate many existing, external sensor feeds within the observatory umbrella.

Summer #flooding happens so fast… and will be more frequent according to @nclceser @UniofNewcastle

Extreme summer rainfall may become more frequent in the UK due to climate change, according to new research led by Newcastle University and the Met Office.

The new study, from the joint Met Office and NERC funded CONVEX project which is led by CESER academic Professor Hayley Fowler, uses a state-of-the-art climate model providing the first evidence that hourly summer rainfall rates could increase.

While summers are expected to become drier overall by 2100, intense rainfall indicative of serious flash flooding could become several times more frequent.

The results from the study, published in Nature Climate Change, are the first step towards building a more complete picture of how UK rainfall may change as our climate warms.

Prof Hayley Fowler, from Newcastle University’s School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, said: “We need to understand about possible changes to summer and winter rainfall so we can make informed decisions about how to manage these very different flooding risks in the future.

“The changes we have found are consistent with increases we would expect in extreme rainfall with increasing temperatures and will mean more flash floods.

Dr Lizzie Kendon, lead author of the research at the Met Office, said: “Until now, climate models haven’t been able to simulate how extreme hourly rainfall might change in future. The very high resolution model used in this study allows us to examine these changes for the first time.

“It shows heavier summer downpours in the future, with almost five times more events exceeding 28mm in one hour in the future than in the current climate – changes we might expect theoretically as the world warms. However, we need to be careful as the result is only based on one model – so we need to wait for other centres to run similarly detailed simulations to see whether their results support these findings.”

As the atmosphere warms it can hold more moisture and this is expected to intensify rainfall. However, research is needed to understand what this might mean for extremes and how this might affect the UK.

In winter it is the daily or multi-day rainfall totals that are important, because we tend to get steady, long-lasting periods of rain from large scale weather systems – similar to those seen during the winter floods of 2013/14.

Climate models, which generally work at coarse resolutions, have been able to accurately simulate winter rainfall and have suggested generally wetter winters with the potential for higher daily rainfall rates in the future.

In summer, however, it is the hourly rates that are more important as rain tends to fall in short but intense bursts – as seen during the Boscastle flooding of 2004 and ‘Toon Flood’, otherwise known as Thunder Thursday, in Newcastle in 2012. Climate models have so far lacked the resolution to accurately simulate the smaller-scale convective storms which cause this type of rain.

To deal with this issue, this study uses a climate model with a higher resolution than ever used before to examine future rainfall change –  using 1.5km grid boxes instead of the usual 12km or larger – the same as the Met Office weather forecast model. This model gives a realistic representation of hourly rainfall, allowing us to make future projections with some confidence.

It was so computer intensive that only the southern half of the UK could be studied and even then it took the Met Office supercomputer – one of the most powerful in the world – about nine months to run the simulations.

These simulations looked at two 13-year periods, one based on current climate and one based on expected climate around 2100.

Professor Fowler adds: “The next steps are to see if these changes are consistent with observed trends in summer rainfall extremes and changes projected by climate models in other parts of the world. We will be looking at this over the next five years, jointly with the Met Office and other leading international scientists in the European Research Council funded INTENSE project.”

 

Read more: “Heavier summer downpours with climate change revealed by weather forecast resolution model.”  Elizabeth J. Kendon, Nigel M. Roberts, Hayley J. Fowler, Malcolm J. Roberts, Steven C. Chan, Catherine A. Senior.  Nature Climate Change. 2014.

3 funded #PhDs available in water and climate impacts engineering @nclceser @TyndallCentre #ibuild

Three fully funded PhD studentships, led by academics from CESER, are available in topics that address water and climate engineering:

1. Vulnerability of shallow groundwater and surface water resources used for irrigation in rural communities in Sub-Saharan Africa to climate variability and change.
2. Will catchment scale afforestation for mitigating flooding significantly reduce water resource availability and productive farmland?
3. Attribution of climate risks in urban areas for the design of adaptation pathways.

Each Doctoral Training Award is for £20,000 per annum. This award is sufficient to cover home(UK)/EU fees and a contribution to an annual stipend (living expenses).  Applications from outside the EU are welcome but must note the stipend will be reduced according to the difference in tuition fees. Applications will be considered as they are received, until 18th August 2014 or sooner if the awards are made before this date.  Applicants must be able to start the PhD in September.

More information can be found via the links above, or at the CESER PhD webpage.